Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Botic Van De Zandschulp Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When evaluating recent second serve performance, Carabelli outshines with a 45.42% success rate, compared to Zandschulp's 40.89%. Does this metric correlate with winning? Yes, in this instance, it strongly suggests greater match prediction accuracy.
• In recent return game stats, Carabelli also leads by winning 47.28% of points on opponents' second serves, while Zandschulp trails slightly with 45.45%.
• First serve return percentages are close, with Carabelli at 29% and Zandschulp at 28.43%, indicating minimal difference here; however, it could slightly favor Carabelli.
• Carabelli has saved 54.29% of breakpoints under pressure, higher than Zandschulp's 49.8%, which can be essential for in-game betting trends.
• Looking at the last year, Carabelli's win-rate stands at 63.16%, significantly higher than Zandschulp's 49.15%.
• Carabelli excels on clay with a 65% win rate, whereas Zandschulp's peak performance appears on indoor hard courts with a 63% success rate. Both struggle most on grass.
• Across platforms, Carabelli has dominated Challenger/ITF tournaments (> $10K) with a 79.49% win rate, while Zandschulp has played more on the Main tour, winning 46.15% of those matches.
• Carabelli has typically faced lower-ranked opponents with an average rank of 166.24, compared to Zandschulp, who competed against players averaging rank 153.19.
• Deciding set performance shows Carabelli as a strong contender, winning 73% of such sets, whereas Zandschulp wins only 42%.
• Regarding breakpoint conversion, Carabelli marginally leads with a 34.38% conversion rate compared to Zandschulp's 33.74%.

Editorial Prediction (July 17, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match analysis indicates several statistical advantages for Carabelli. Recent second serve performance and return stats swing in their favor, suggesting greater consistency under critical situations. Their performance under pressure further enhances this viewpoint.

Sustained dominance over the past year adds to this confidence. Carabelli's wide margin over Zandschulp in match-winning percentage and deciding set prowess suggests they are better equipped for worn-out scenarios.

Ultimately, the analysis reveals Carabelli's likely capacity to leverage strengths for a win. Given all the variables, Carabelli has a distinct edge and is favored to win this tense match-up.